Arthur's Football Comments: EURO 2012: 16 under a loupe: Italy

June 8, 2012

EURO 2012: 16 under a loupe: Italy


Italy

Italy Flag
Factsheet

Euro 2012 Group C: 10-06-12: Spain-Italy, 14-06-12: Italy - Croatia, 18-06-12: Italy - Rep. of Ireland
FIFA/Coca Cola World Ranking: 12
Previous European Championship Appearances: 1968, 1980, 1988, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008
Qualifying record: 10+8=2-0 20-2
Interesting facts: In 1988 Italy, then 3-time world champions, qualified for European Championships for the first time: previously they only participated in the tournament on their home soil, where no qualification is needed.
Italy conceded only 2 goals during the qualification, which is the best result among all the participants.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It has only gone the wrong way for Italy since they won the World Cup in 2006. Huge scandals in the Italian football are accompanied by injuries of crucial players. After The catastrophic results of the 2010 World Cup edition, Italy needs to get together and show a decent performance. History shows that the Italian national squads of 1982 and 2006 got motivated by the match-fixing scandals around the team and went on to win the tournaments. Will it happen for the third time?

Coach Cesare Prandelli is probably the brightest Italian tactician of his generation. He has been a candidate to appear on charge of squadra azzurra for a long time and now he got the chance. His team was lucky enough to compete in one of the weakest qualification groups, putting together a fantastic run of 8 wins and 2 draws, conceding only twice.  

The tournament was meant to be a home tournament for Italy but was given to Poland and Ukraine due to the football unrest in the country. However, the hopes to win the trophy for the second time are still high in the Apennines.


The furious history of European Championships 1960-2004The furious history of European Championships 1960-2004

Statistics against Spain: 29+11=10-8 38-29*
The match we remember: Spain won all of their matches during the Euro 2008 except the one against Italy in quarterfinals, when the match ended 0:0 and only misses from De Rossi and Di Natale in the after-match penalty shoot-outs let the Spaniards overcome the hurdle of World Champions.  

Statistics against Croatia: 6+1=2-3 7-7
The match we remember: Italy’s only win against Croatia took place back in 1942. Croatia is one of the few teams in the world having a positive balance against Italians. Their most famous victory is the 2002 World Cup Group G 2-1 win over the Azzurri, who were led by Giovanni Trapattoni, currently working with the Irish team. Worth to mention that Italy had two clear goals disallowed in that match.

Giovanni Trapattoni and Cesare Prandelli
Statistics against Rep. of Ireland: 11+7=2-2 18-9
The match we remember: the same day of 18th of June 18 years before the Euro 2012 Rep. of Ireland-Italy match in Poznan, the dramatic Group E opener at World Cup in USA ended 1-0 thanks to an early goal by Ray Houghton leading the Eire to unexpectedly take the victory that evening.  


Two profiles:

Andrea Pirlo: A player of the highest order, the brain and pacesetter of Juventus and Italy national team is already 33, so this is probably the last chance for us to enjoy the creativity of this great player at a major tournament.

Andrea Pirlo
The Old Lady invited Pirlo when his abilities seemed to be declining. In the end of the day nobody could deny that Pirlo’s role with the most assists in Serie A was crucial in Juventus’s recent success.

He became the team leader of Italian national team at 2006 World Cup, when his marvelous play helped the Italians win the trophy. In 2008 Italy lost to eventual winners Spain in quarterfinals in a match, where Pirlo was suspended. 2 years later he only came in as a late substitute in Italy’s last group match. The damage was already done and injured Pirlo could not help much. This time the Architect will definitely show us some quality set pieces and wonderful passes before he announces his retirement from the national team.  

Mario Barwuah Balotelli: The first ever black player in the Italian national football team is only 22, but has earned a huge reputation of a talented player with a silly behavior. But the difference between Marcello Lippi and Cesare Prandelli is that the first needs harmony in the squad and potential hazards like Balotelli and Cassano don’t have a chance to appear in a major tournament. But many see in Mario the most talented forward in Italy and Prandelli looks at the positive side of Balo, too, hoping he will score numerous goals for the Azzurri.

The European Golden Boy Award winner of 2010 was forced to leave Internazionale after wearing the A.C. Milan jersey in a talk-show and throwing his jersey away after the final whistle in a local match. Roberto Mancini of Manchester City picked him up and did not regret. Super Mario’s fantastic pace and technique helped the City win the Premier League this year.

The scandalous player of Ghanaian decent decided to play for Italy. He has already scored his first goal for the Azzuri in his 8 international caps. Let’s hope his dark side will be prevailed by the magician side from now on.


  

My prediction:

One of Prandelli’s favorite forwards, Giuseppe Rossi, will miss the tournament due to an injury; Antonio Cassano has just recovered from a surgery; Mario Balotelli is unpredictable and Antonio Di Natale is 34. This is how the front line of the Azzuri looks like. Another headache has just been added by Barzagli’s injury; Andrea is ruled out of the group tournament. The coach’s plans of playing three defenders are in danger, as there are not many decent center-backs in the Italy squad to substitute Barzagli. And the final remark on the team is their dependence on three geniuses Gianluigi Buffon, Giorgio Chiellini and Andrea Pirlo. If anything happens to one of these Juventus-heroes, Prandelli has no chances to fill the gaps.
     
Gianluigi Buffon with the World Cup
On the other hand, Italy doesn’t necessarily need to show anything extraordinary to reach the semifinals. Fiascos like the 2010 World Cup don’t happen so often in the international football. Italy simply has to qualify from their group and we all know that you can never predict the winner when Italy is involved in play-offs. Looking at Group D, I don’t see a team capable to eliminate Italy in quarterfinals and the semifinals could become as tough as the ones we saw back in 2000 (against hosts Netherlands) and 2006 (against hosts Germany). Interestingly their 12-year spin of reaching the final of a major tournament has turned into 6 years during the last couple of decades, so I see continuing this trend of 1994, 2000, 2006. And the final is not the match to be predicted.  

------------------------------------------------------------
* 6+2=3-1 7-7: played 6, won 2, tied 3, lost 1, scored 7, conceded 7 

Sacchi, Lippi and Other Italian Top Coaches Analyze Game Formations Through 180 Situations  

No comments:

Post a Comment

About Me

My photo
I am a professional football watcher. I watched the WC '94, when I was 10 years old and have had no success in quitting with this. I promised R. Baggio to give tribute to his Juventus and Italy team ever-since, as he missed that damned penalty. While watching matches I always try to analyze every fact before, during and after the matches. This makes me feel I am an expert. Everyone is welcome to start a conversation on any football-related topic. You would just make me a huge favour. Besides, I am a hopelessly lost gambler. A player, not only in the game, but also in life! I live in Denmark. I am married, which, of course, prevents me of watching football 24 hours a day. My daughter was born in 2011. This fact is neither a football-friendly one, but it does not disappoint me. I am making my first steps in professional scouting with one of the local companies. If this profile sounds something close to you, I would warmly welcome you to follow my blog, where you'll read about everything I mentioned above. I promise to post an article every week. Let's say Saturday. So here we go!