Arthur's Football Comments: EURO 2012: 16 under a loupe: Russia

April 24, 2012

EURO 2012: 16 under a loupe: Russia


Russia

Russia Flag photo
Factsheet

Euro 2012 Group A: 08-06-12: Russia – Czech Republic, 12-06-12: Poland – Russia, 16-06-12: Greece - Russia
FIFA/Coca Cola World Ranking: 11
Previous European Championship Appearances: 1996, 2004, 2008
Qualifying record: 10+7=2-1 17-4
Interesting facts: Only Italy conceded fewer goals than Russia among the 51 nations competing for Euro 2012 participation.  
Only Pavel Pogrebnyak of Fulham does not represent a domestic club among all of the national team candidates.

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Dick Advocaat Belgium photo
After being chosen to lead Russians when the Guus Hiddink era was over, Dick Advocaat, a usual substitute to Hiddink, shockingly gave away his job as Belgium coach and returned to Russia. Here he managed to qualify for a major competition on his first attempt. Something you can’t really satisfy the Russian fans with, but still, something that doesn’t happen every time. The team has been unbeaten in 11 matches now, conceding only 3 goals.

At the last Euro the team achieved the semifinals, winning against any team they met on their way apart from the soon-champions Spain. This time the destiny appeared to be milder to Russia, giving them Czech Republic, Poland and Greece, hence making them obviously the best team in Group A.

Russia has already got some experience in a situation, where the list of group contenders doesn’t include any heavyweights, which makes Russia a group favorite. 10 years ago they couldn’t cope with such a pressure after being drawn with Tunisia, co-hosts Japan and Belgium at World Cup 2002. Do Advocaat and his players read history or not will be known very soon.


Statistics against Czech Republic: 1+0=1-0 3-3*
The match we remember: The only time the teams met was at Euro 96 Group C last day match, when the substitute Vladimir Smicer’s 89th minute goal ended the wonderful 6-goal encounter between the teams and gave Czech Republic the chance to reach the quarterfinals and go all the way to the final. However, Dick Advocaat lost two and tied one match against Czech Republic, while in charge of Netherlands national team.

Statistics against Poland: 3+1=1-1 5-5
The match we remember: The teams have only met in friendly matches. 

Statistics against Greece: 10+4=5-1 14-9
The match we remember: Those two teams have always met in the group stage whenever both of them appeared at European Championships. Both of those matches were won by Russia, including the one at Euro 2004, where the future champions did not lose any other matches. The Greek miracle could have remained a dream, had Dmitri Kirichenko used his easy chance to score in the dying minutes of the match.

Two profiles:

Andrey Arshavin: He was Hiddink’s superstar and a member of the symbolic squad at Euro 2008. Now he is back to the tournament in the role of a team captain.   

Though only played in the Russian league before, Andrey Arshavin got easily accustomed to the English Premier League. He is best known for his poker against Liverpool and his trustworthiness – Arsene Wenger appointed him as a captain in one of the matches after Arshavin had been at Arsenal for only 3 months. He became the most effective player in the Premier League in his first season, despite joining the League in February.

There are lots of things to be told about this man, but the most relevant and complete note would be the fact of him being the Russian Football Face for the World Cup 2018 bid. This is what he means for Russia.

Advocaat and Arshavin photo

Away from the football pitch Arshavin is known to be an intelligent person, interested in politics, fashion, writing books as well as playing poker and draughts. His intelligence and enormous experience are going to be the key to Russian possible success at the Euro. After being harshly criticized for his passivity both for Arsenal and Russian national team, he showed determination towards the Euro, when returning back to Zenit St. Petersburg to earn more playing time. This is probably the last European Championship for Andrey Arshavin, who turns 31 10 days before the Euro kick-off.

Alan Dzagoev photo
Alan Dzagoev: Dzagoev, 21, is definitely the most talented player the Russian football has produced in the past 5 years. Only 17 years old, Dzaga was invited to CSKA, where he shone already in his first season scoring 8 goals in 20 games. In result he received the Best Young Player of the League 2008 award as well as high appraisal from Guus Hiddink. The Dutchman included Dzagoev in his World Cup 2010 qualifying match bid against Germany. He played a whole half on his debut, thus becoming the second youngest player after his teammate Igor Akinfeev ever to appear on the pitch for Russian national team. He has already earned 18 caps despite his young age.

Dzagoev, who currently is out for the rest of the season due to his broken toe, is expected to be 100% fit for the Euro. While fans constantly criticize Russian star players for being too lazy when representing the national team, Dzagoev is always appreciated for being one of the most enthusiastic players in the team. This feature, together with his killer passes, as mentioned by Guus Hiddink, and accurate shots are one of the main assets the Russian team is going to bring to Poland and Ukraine this summer. A Euro 2012 Breakthrough candidate for sure.  

My prediction:

The former and current Londoners Zhirkov, Pavlyuchenko, Arshavin and Pogrebnyak have the class to lead their national team further to the quarterfinals, which they probably will do. Russia was superior in their Euro 2012 qualification group, full of strong opponents. Their experienced manager, once led Netherlands to Euro 2004 semifinals, is an absolute master to get results against lower-ranked teams.

But sometimes it is not only the result that matters. In fact, Russians failed to show any great performance during the campaign, which became a topic to discuss for the Russian media. The problem is that Hiddink era was over, but Advocaat era never came. The Dutchman nr. 2 in Russian football decided that it is worth to follow Hiddink’s track without moving towards reconstructing the team or performing the needed generation change. Advocaat either believes that the new generation is not good enough or simply trusts the experienced players, but the fact is that he sticks to very little number of players including the presence of 4 overage midfielders Zyryanov (34), Semshov (34), Semak (36) and Loskov (38). This is the reason why I think that the team does not have the resources to surprise their possible quarterfinal opponents, as they did back in 2008. And, of course, the tough company of Group B does not make the Russians’ task easier. I believe the absolute limit for this team is never going to be higher than quarterfinals.

Roman Abramovich photo

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* 6+2=3-1 7-7: played 6, won 2, tied 3, lost 1, scored 7, conceded 7 

Football managers, oligarchs, players, pundits and fans that define the Russian Premier league

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