Arthur's Football Comments: Champions League 2012-13: The second leg of 1/8 final matches, Part III

March 12, 2013

Champions League 2012-13: The second leg of 1/8 final matches, Part III

Read Part I
Read Part II

The biggest surprise of the Champions League round of 16 has been Milan’s win over Barcelona. We need to remember that Milan has won the Champions League seven times, while Barcelona only four. Anyway, Barca’s weight in European football is much heavier than Milan’s nowadays. The teams were in good form, so the match was promising to be interesting.

There have been several occasions in the past 4-5 years when Barcelona was beaten. One of those was
Kevin Prince Boateng scored the first goal for Milan the last-year semifinal tie between the Spanish club and Chelsea. The other bright example is the current Champions League match in Glasgow. In these two and many other cases the eventual winners were locked in their own half to bravely stand against the heavy storm of Barcelona attacks. For the first time in a very long period we saw a match, where the opponent of the Catalan team successfully implemented its tactics and deservedly won. Jordi Roura’s team didn’t seem to find the necessary space to get closer to Abiatti’s goal. Massimiliano Allegri did a great job explaining his team how to defend. Other than the main defenders, the Milan team had a fantastic midfielder Montolivo, who, being compared with Pirlo from time to time, proved that he is one of the greatest Italian players these days. He was not only stamping Pirlo-style crosses to forwards, but also helping the defense out, sometimes appearing in the role of a… sweeper. Riccardo Montolivo was not the only one to overshadow Messi at San Siro. Stephan El Shaarawy was a constant danger in his left wing. It was him to assist Muntari in the second goal. The Ghanaian played a good match together with his compatriot Boateng. The two were not only good in destroying, but also creating in the midfield. As for Barcelona, we saw Puyol and Xavi make mistakes, while Messi can also have a bad day when watched intelligently. The score of 2-0 gives huge chances for the Italian team to claim a quarterfinal ticket. No expectations of any surprises: Barcelona is going to possess the ball in Milan’s half. If Milan plays like they did three weeks ago, Barcelona will not have many chances. A quick goal is a must for the hosts: the time will play for Milan. Such games are never won without a small share of luck. Let’s see who Football Gods will favor tonight.

Actually, scoring two at Nou Camp has never been a problem for Barcelona, but the team has been conceding a lot recently. A conceded goal will require four scored: something that sounds impossible for such a Milan to swallow. For the first time in many years there is a team which has got better chances to qualify in expense of Barcelona. I would estimate that in 2 out of 3 cases Milan would advance in such circumstances. Champions League history never remembers a team to advance after a first leg defeat with a 0-2 score. Barcelona turned things upside down when they lost to Chelsea 1-3 13 years ago. The most famous case is however Milan’s disastrous loss to another Spanish club Deportivo, when they wasted an advantage of 4 goals to 1. It was the Champions League 2003-04.   

The Tuesday match between the two superclubs is going to be legendary for European football. In one sense there is a possibility for the Barcelona-era to finish. The club has been the dominant force in the continent for the last five years and the crisis seems to be close. On the other hand, after about 5 years of poor performances there is a chance for Milan to enter the European club elite. If they defeat Messi and Co.,they will become a favorite to take the Champions League trophy this season.  

Although there were big expectations from the new stars of Galatasaray, the first leg match at “The Hell”, as the Turkish fans love to call the Ali Sami Yen Stadium, ended a draw. 1-1 is a fantastic result for Schalke 04 to elaborate on before the second leg match. The team is on its way to recover from a winter crisis. With Huntelaar injured, in-form Benedikt Howedes, Michel Bastos and Julian Draxler will have to do their best to continue Schalke’s unbeaten form in this Champions League. The disadvantage of the German team is the tiredness after a big derby last weekend.

Schalke's Jermaine Jones scored to Galatasaray
Getting back to the first match, the Turkish champions had a big advantage. They even scored an early goal thanks to Burak Yilmaz’s amazing skills. The advantage didn’t stand for a long time though. Sneijder and Drogba didn’t have their best matches: the Dutchman was even substituted after the half time.  Overall, Galatasaray has got big names, but the team picture is missing. Felipe Melo and Wesley Sneijder didn’t seem to have clear image of what they needed to destroy and what to create. The defenders kept on being cought positionally. From the other camp it would sound that a draw would be a suitable result. Draxler, Farfan, Bastos and Jones had a good match. Jermain Jones was the one to equalize right before the half time whistle.

With Schalke getting better and better, there is about 65% chance for them to complete the German trio in the quarterfinals (assuming Bayern doesn’t stumble on Arsenal). 

Read Part IV

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