Arthur's Football Comments: Champions League 2012-13: The second leg of 1/8 final matches, Part II

March 6, 2013

Champions League 2012-13: The second leg of 1/8 final matches, Part II

Read Part I

Juventus's Claudio Marchisio
There are almost no chances for Celtic Park to sing “You’ll Never Walk Alone” in this Champions League again. In the first match of Celtic-Juventus encounter the team tried to do everything possible to win, but the opponent was too tough. The enthusiastic football shown from the beginning didn’t provide the quality needed, while the mistakes didn’t disappear. As mentioned earlier, Juve’s defense was more solid than
Barcelona’s, and the stakes were higher here than at the group stage. Of course, the Old Lady could have conceded a couple of time, had it been Cristiano Ronaldo shooting instead of Commons, or Arjen Robben assisting Gary Hooper, but the Italian team played calmly. Despite the incredible pressure, Antonio Conte’s team controlled the game from the first to the last minute. Then by the end of the match, when the strengths were gone, the difference of levels became obvious. The inspirational Marchisio made the game, being an important part of all three goals. Although the jetlagged African champion Ambrose is directly guilty for at least two goals, another choice would not save Celtic’s life. Juventus was much stronger and the match at Juventus Stadium is not going to decide anything. Big enthusiasm and a huge backup by fans may bring a goal or two, but quality teams are masters in turning opponent’s enthusiasm into angriness and nervousness. Juve can take a deep breath and try to increase the gap dividing the team from its scudetto concurrents. Quarterfinals are going to be much harder. Pirlo, by the way, had a bad match.

Before leaving to Paris for the second leg, Valencia, a team highly depending on the mood, had to face the calm team of an Italian manager at home. Valverde’s team was not the hot favorite to advance PSG. Now the chances are even worse. They couldn’t avoid a defeat in the first match against a much better organized team.

Understanding the importance of not waking Valencia up, PSG was cautiously doing everything not to burn a flame at Mestalla. Ancelotti’s side was calmly playing the ball during the whole match and defending without creating a chaos at its own penalty area. This is the main reason why PSG, playing without Thiago Silva, didn’t give a single chance for the home side to create danger during the first hour of play. Even more, PSG could score two goals after a couple of counterattacks. Lucas Moura, Lavezzi and Pastore were free to do all they wanted while the chaotic Valencia defense was busy with looking after Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic's red card against Valencia
The second half brought a couple of changes for Valencia, which made the play less monotonous. Now Tino Costa was told to send more crosses forward. At some point Valencia was getting closer to scoring, but PSG never gave up the control over the game. Their counterattacks were much sharper than in the first half. Luckily for the home side, PSG didn’t score again. However, as it usually happens with Valencia, the team scored in the last minutes of the match. The match ended 1-2.

The difference between losing 0-2 and 1-2 at home is not essential in the current format of Champions League. Valencia will need to score at least two goals, which is not an easy task considering the defensive form of Carlo Ancelotti’s side. The good news for the Spanish team is that Zlatan Ibrahimovic got expulsed in the first leg and will not take part in the second match. I think Valencia will have to try to control the game from the first minutes. It is more important than running towards opponent’s goals and look for the two necessary goals from the beginning. Giving PSG’s defenders and goalkeeper chances to catch the pulse of the game while attackers organize counterattacks is not what Valencia came to Paris for. Valencia needs to save some strength for the last 20 minutes, where they are good in scoring. It is also important to remember, that PSG has not got a huge Champions League experience as a team. Mistakes might come together with tiredness and opponent’s pressure. This is the only scenario for Valencia to beat PSG.

Whether this is possible for Ernesto Valverde’s team to execute and advance to quarterfinals or not will be decided soon. For me this chance doesn’t exceed 10%. The winter transfer policy of the teams may be the clear reflection of the ambitions Valencia and PSG have in this Champions League.

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